Aussie ( SPI)Index Weekly 13th Sept 08

"So far the Weekly cycle support has been verified @ 4830 with Friday closing above it, but the SPI probably won't continue higher until another 5-days of trading :-3rd week contract expiry.

When looking at US markets they couldn't remain supported above their 3-week cycles lows, they actually closed lower, which often favours a continuation down."


Previous Weekly Report


SPI Weekly

SPI was dragged down by US markets last week, with a 5-day choppy pattern remaining above 4830.

This week is contract expiry, with December contracts running at a 45 point premium to the SPOT often sees the SPI move higher into Thursday and the day of expiry.

How far the SPI will move is any one's guess, but a move back towards 5164:- 3 week highs is a probability.

But after that I see don't see too much strength in Global Markets.

October becomes interesting because of the drop in the 50% levels.

I've mentioned before that I want to see lower prices in this quarter before a 3-month counter-trend move upwards, but if prices start trading above the forward Monthly 50% level in October, then the view is that the Aussie Market will begin a gradual rise upwards in a 'Monthly' step' formation towards 5355 in the next Quarter.

SPI 5-day pattern

Until then :- Day traders continue to use the 5-day levels and Spiral point set-ups each day.

They are the most robust intra-day set-ups that you can use, because they operate with high statistical probability when using Swing and Momentum techniques.



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