Aussie Index (SPI) 27 March 2010 Weekly

SPI Monthly

Quarter coming into an end, with upside targets in the 2nd Quarter @ 5100+

SPI trading around the March highs with the expectation that price is going to continue higher in the 2nd Quarter.

This up move into the March highs completes a 2-month wave pattern during this Quarterly cycle, and if trading on the BUY side (stocks) we want to look for the next 'long' set-up during the next Quarterly cycle.

The most ideal set-up to capture any longs in the market would be a rotation back towards the April 50% level.

There isn't a breakout of the 3-month highs, but there is a breakout of the single monthly highs @ 4727 (red).

Because there is a breakout I would treat the market as a break & extend pattern during the single month, which means it's more likely to push upwards in early April before it rotates back downward.



SPI Weekly and 5-day range (24 hour market)

The medium term trend is defined by the Weekly 50% level, so it won't take much for the market to change with price trading below.

Trend guide on Monday @ 4930, and there is still the possibility that next week begins with a 2-day down day based on the Friday 5-day highs resistance.

If the trend is going to continue higher it can remain above the Weekly 50% level and continue up until April begins:- first Quarter target 5107

If price does drops below the Weekly 50% level, then the 3-week lows is the support zone for the next leg upwards.