Aussie Index (SPI) 17 April 2010 Weekly



SPI Monthly and Weekly

SPI trading around resistance and as per previous reports, for the SPI to continue towards 5170 the most robust pattern is to revisit the 3-month 50% levels.

This is based on a 2 timeframe wave using the quarterly timeframe:- the 3-Quarterly 50% level in the first Quarter and continues towards the highs in the following quarter.

And along the way following another text book pattern using a lesser timeframe & 2-monthly wave pattern, in this case the monthly 50% during this Quarter and another 2 month wave pattern upwards.


The reversal pattern from these highs and the expectation of a down move needed to wait until the DOW had completed it's break and extend patterns in April @ 11082, and because of this I'm looking for the trend to continue down.

And Orderly Text book pattern would be moving into the MAY 50% level and then heading higher.

However, it's not about the Aussie market, it's about US markets.

If US markets follow #3 (Read US report), then the Aussie market could follow another double monthly low pattern, but this time using the single monthly lows not the 3-month lows.

As we can see the first monthly low is @ 4686