Aussie Index (SPI) 14th August 2010

"There is a possible 2-day UP move beginning next week, however, if the 3rd day drops back below 4512 then August could move into a consolidation phase:- rotation with a downward bias towards the Weekly lows"....

Previous Weekly report


SPI Monthly and Weekly

Last week began with an UP move, but by the 2nd day price had closed below 4512, and the 3rd sold down into the Weekly lows @ 4330.

Currently the market is in a 3rd Quarter consolidation pattern and trading around the Yearly 50% level @ 4295.

Fundamentally and technically the Australian market looks in much better shapethan the US, with the S&P likely to come under more pressure.

The longer term charts suggest more weakness whilst below the August 50% levels.

However, 3rd quarter consolidation can see more 5-day patterns than remain range bound between the Weekly levels.

Next Week's Trend guide @ 4373

Support 4287