Aussie Index (SPI) 16 April 2011 Weekly

The SPI has moved up into the monthly highs in April @ 4978, and in my opinion has hit resistance levels and will begin to rotate lower over the coming weeks, and move back down towards the lower Weekly levels.

Previous Weekly Report



SPI Primary & Secondary cycles.


Market Top @ 5006 on Monday, and expectation that the reversal pattern would occur is currently playing out

Even though I have a view that the trend bias is up towards 5093 to 5139, that’s more likely going to happen after there's a reversal pattern down from these April highs.

There are two possible patterns, and that will depend if the S&P holds support levels (above 1300-1304).

If it does hold support, then I’ll look for the next push upwards from MAY, as the market ‘chops’ around for the next 3-weeks (SET-UP B)

If it doesn’t hold support, and the S&P moves back down towards 1247-54, then the SPI can makes its way back towards 2nd Quarter Support (SET-UP C)

Next Week:- At this stage I’d treat the Aussie market as consolidating within the Weekly levels, using the Weekly 50% level as support.

And keep an eye on if there's a daily close below 1299 in the S&P500