Aussie Index (SPI) 19 March 2011 Weekly

" My view is that the market is going to swing back upwards and retest the Weekly breakout.

This will be resistance zone, that can send the market back downward
into the lows once again (April)

I would normally associate the current price action with another retest of the monthly lows in April, thus forming a double bottom before the market has the potential to move upwards
"




SPI Monthly and Weekly

The SPI moved down into higher timeframe support levels @ 4565, but it took until Friday for the market to begin its swing upwards, as part of a move to retest last week's breakout of the Weekly lows

Next Week's trend guide is the Weekly level @ 4646.

Potential swing is towards the Weekly 50% level @ 4740 to 4772.

Note;- as mentioned in the previous Weekly report, there is the possibility that the market moves back down into April's lows using the April 50% level as the trend guide.

If the market struggles to rise upwards over the next 2-weeks, and using the higher timeframes 50% levels as a trend guide, we could see the market back around 4330.

Any weakness in the Australian market towards those lows will be influenced by continued weakness in the S&P 500

The Quarterly 50% levels (Yellow) are the critical support levels in the secondary cycles in the market