Aussie Index (SPI) 28th MAY 2011 Weekly

4703 will decide on whether the price action in MAY and the failure at the monthly 50% level will push the SPI towards the Monthly lows....

especially if the S&P follows a double Weekly low pattern (Read US report)


Previous Weekly report


SPI Monthly and Weekly


The SPI opened below the Weekly level @ 4703 and moved down, as the S&P followed the double Weekly low pattern.

Once the S&P failed to continue down below the Weekly low (FAKE break), the SPI moved back above the Quarterly 50% level @ 4649, and then towards the short-term highs (5-day range)

I favour the trend to rise upwards, however, there isn't a robust set-up to BUY and hold as yet.

Things need to be validated, and those patterns begin with a move above the June 50% level, and then followed by the breakout of the Weekly highs.

As we can see the Weekly 50% level and June 50% level align as of next week...(Wednesday)


And those levels will determine whether the trend moves upwards, as the market remains above the Primary and Secondary 50% levels....


or is once again rejected back down from the monthly 50% level towards the June lows.